The clanking of political armour and chest-thumping rose another notch after Tuesday’s official announcement of the April 28 General Election date, tipped in last week’s column.
The battle of parties’ support bases—which is what it will be —will be launched after the upcoming Shouter Baptist and Eid holidays, according to People’s National Movement (PNM) and United National Congress (UNC) officials.
While the UNC says the writing’s on the wall for PNM, rather than in the “Next Chapter” new Prime Minister Stuart Young’s hinted as the PNM’s theme, the election has been in the making since 2023, developing throughout 2024 into recently: last Sunday’s candidate presentation alongside ex-leader Dr Keith Rowley’s departure, Young’s debut, a new cabinet and the election date.
Whether the element of surprise on everything works - rather than reinforce concern about the PNM’s “secrecy”—remains ahead. Some PNMites believe a later election would have helped, though acknowledging that geopolitical and finance balances demanded an earlier poll.
If Young’s tightly wound - as seen Thursday—PNM’s challenge is clear. Beyond being a new PM amid peers and minus Rowley’s experience, he still had Rowley’s rally speech campaigning heavily against the UNC. But incompletion of work was confirmed in speakers warning against PNMItes’ “staying home.” Indeed, activities began an hour later than advertised due to slow arrivals.
Young’s walkabouts continue, with Tobago activity ahead. PNM candidates launch campaigns and offices this weekend. Also ahead: Privy Council decisions on the Marcia Ayers-Caesar matter. Young’s first trip overseas is expected next week to Caricom’s meeting on US/Cuba visa restriction. Who acts as PM then will reveal where Young’s reliance lies.
Cabinet changes telegraphed indictments on certain ministers’ performance, validating the UNC’s criticism during the term—which hamstrings Young’s boasts about the team’s effectiveness.
Colm Imbert’s been demoted from Finance to Public Utilities, replaced by his former permanent secretary Vishnu Dhanpaul. Two Ministers in Finance are assisting instead of Brian Manning alone. Fitzgerald Hinds has been demoted from National Security to Minister of State, a rank he’d held prior to 2020 promotion to full minister.
It was also an indictment on Rowley’s judgement after his 020 boast that Imbert—who’s now toted Finance for 10 years minus IMF recourse or worker reduction—remained the best man for Finance. Young’s meeting with religious representatives also brought the Education Minister’s performance into focus.
Young retained Energy to secure projects under his tenure since his credibility—and Government’s election chances—ride on that. Changes could occur if the PNM wins election, but there are current benefits from the Attorney General being chairman of PNM’s strongest unit—Women’s League chairman Camille Robinson-Regis, a staunch supporter since Young began acting as PM.
On the 40 days to election, Young’s first trial is his CIC schooldays issue with fellow student Imran Khan.
Beyond admissions on his school days in Heliconia Foundation’s 2021 interview, as new PM, facing a general election—with iffy footing in the party and in public, Young was limited to general damage control, minus direct acceptance and apology to Khan.
But he must know, as T&T’s top public figure—particularly in the way he’s ascended—every action, judgement, support of, or condoning is under scrutiny, standing to also affect the judgement/image of Rowley, MPs and the party who sanctioned him.
With the personal incident spun as bringing bullying to the fore for attention, it’s ahead what prompted Young’s first declaration to now address domestic/violence towards women. The sincerity of that pledge has to withstand Young’s vulgar October 2024 “zammy” statements about the UNC’s leader.
The snap poll hasn’t affected the Opposition, as UNC’s campaign peak crossroads arrives with a decision on “dissident“ Mayaro MP Ruston Paray. Whatever decision aids UNC’s comfort zone or compounds challenges—beyond the PNM.
The UNC’s targeted the Afro-T&T base, as PNM has the Indo-T&T sector. PNM’s rally showed the injection of such, supporting candidates in some UNC-held areas.
However, ex-minister Vasant Bharath, who attended Monday’s UNC Brazil meeting—and has attended closed-door meetings with leader Persad-Bissessar—wasn’t at UNC’s meeting in the seat he’d held: St Augustine, where incumbent MP Kadijah Ameen’s energetic delivery confirmed her candidacy. UNC’s candidates are in hand alongside the party’s manifesto.
The rest of the “40 days” road progresses.