Meteorologist/Reporter
kalain.hosein@guardian.co.tt
The T&T Meteorological Service (TTMS) and the National Hurricane Center (NHC) are monitoring a strong tropical wave, located approximately 3,400 kilometres east of T&T for development.
The NHC says the tropical wave is producing “disorganised showers and thunderstorms” with “some development possible during the next several days.”
In their Tropical Weather Outlook issued yesterday afternoon, the NHC said: “A tropical depression could form over the tropical Atlantic by the end of the week or this weekend while the system moves westward at 15 to 20 mph.”
The NHC has given this tropical wave a low chance of forming into a tropical cyclone, near 10 per cent, over the next 48 hours, and a medium chance over the next seven days.
The TTMS is also monitoring this strong tropical wave, which they say is “exhibiting moderate to strong vorticity in the low to medium levels, and analysis, together with numerical models projections, is showing that over the next few days, the possibility for some intensification exists.”
The Met Office added: “Trinidad and Tobago, the Windward Islands, and the southern Leeward Islands, are likely to begin to experience the weather conditions associated with this wave by early Monday .”
Based on current models and analysis from the TTMS, cloudy periods, with showers and a high chance of thunderstorms are likely. However, the TTMS explained: “The more intense weather is likely to be, but not confined to, from north Trinidad to just north of Barbados. This system could produce gusty winds, choppy seas, and street or flash flooding as it moves across the area.”
The next name on the list of names for the 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season is Beryl. Alberto, the first storm for the year, made landfall near Tampico, Mexico earlier this month, causing deadly floods in Mexico and across parts of Central America.