There are numbers that look small and behave large. If you want to be good with money and to be on top of your personal finances you should take the time to understand this reality.
I am certain if I were to headline this column as “logarithmic thinking matters” many of you would switch off or start reading with a mental block. In plain language, all I am saying is that you should as a matter of course be asking not only, “How much bigger is this?” but, “How many times bigger is this?”
What we are discussing here is a way of reading scale correctly, and this is extremely important to your understanding of your financial world.
Earthquakes offer a good way to illustrate the concept outside of finance. The measurement of an earthquake magnitude is logarithmic. According to the US Geological Survey, each whole number increase in magnitude means ten times greater measured wave amplitude and about 32 times more energy released.
On June 24, 2026, two large 7.1 and then 7.5 earthquakes struck northern Venezuela within less than a minute. Almost 2,000 are now dead and many times more are missing, injured and displaced.
The initial read was a 7.2 and a 7.5. You might think that 7.2 and 7.5 are close enough not to matter much. The difference is only 0.3 on paper, but on a logarithmic earthquake scale it means the larger quake released about 2.8 times as much energy. The decimal point makes the difference look inconsequential but as you can clearly see, there are huge life changing differences to these small numbers.
Reading about the earthquake, shows how badly our instincts can fail when a number is written on a scale we do not understand and this same mistake occurs every day in personal finance.
When it comes to our money all of us want growth. We want economic growth, we want our incomes to grow, we want our investments to grow. When we think about growth we think about compounding. We want to earn $100. Then earn 5 per cent on that $100 so that it becomes $105 after one year and $110.25 after two years. The second year earns a return on both the original $100 and the first year’s $5.
Scales
Most of us aim for compounding and then stop, we don’t take the time to understand the logarithmic scales attached to our money. For starters, a logarithmic scale is not a growth process. It is a measuring tool. It helps us understand things that grow or shrink by multiplication. It turns repeated multiplication into even steps. If you think of compounding as the engine, logarithmic thinking is your dashboard. If you are driving your car and the instrument panel isn’t working you will eventually run into problems.
Take a simple example. If money grows from $10,000 to $20,000, it has doubled. If it grows from $100,000 to $200,000, it has also doubled. The second increase is $100,000 and the first is only $10,000, but as investment performance they are the same: each is a 100 per cent gain. A logarithmic chart treats those two doublings as equal moves because it is reading percentage change, not dollar change.
This is why long term investment charts are often clearer on a log scale. A normal chart gives equal visual space to equal dollar moves. A log chart gives equal visual space to equal percentage moves. For a long term investor, percentages and multiples matter because wealth compounds by percentage returns.
Logarithmic thinking also helps us understand time. Suppose you invest $10,000 and hope to reach $40,000. In your mind you need another $30,000. To be able to achieve it, you need a process and here your logarithmic mind says you need to multiply your money by four, which means two doublings. At 7 per cent a year, money roughly doubles every decade. So, without adding more contributions and ignoring taxes and fees, two doublings take a little over 20 years.
If you apply this thinking to fees then you will become more judicious about how much you pay for a recurring service. A 1 per cent annual fee to manage your investment sounds small. But it is not paid once. It comes out every year, reducing the amount left to compound. For example $100,000 growing at 4 per cent annually for 20 years: with a 0.25 per cent fee, the portfolio ends around $208,000; with a 0.50 per cent fee, around $198,000; with a 1.00 per cent fee, around $179,000. The small annual difference becomes a large final difference because it repeats.
This does not mean the cheapest product is always the best product. Advice, tax planning, discipline and access can have value. But recurring costs must earn their keep. A fee is not just a line item. It is a claim on future compounding.
Ruin
Losses are another place where everyday thinking misleads. If a portfolio falls 50 per cent, it will not recover with a 50 per cent gain. It needs a 100 per cent gain. Start with $100. Lose half and you have $50. To get back to $100, the remaining $50 must double. This is obvious once shown, but investors forget it, often time leading to complacency in how they manage their investments.
That is why avoiding ruin matters more than chasing every possible gain but yet people’s overwhelming emphasis is on how much money can be made as opposed to the risk associated with earning that return.
Volatility also reduces what investors actually earn. Imagine an investment rises 30 per cent one year and falls 20 per cent the next. The average of plus 30 and minus 20 is plus five. But $100 becomes $130, then $104. The ending wealth is only 4 per cent higher after two years. The arithmetic average looked better than the lived result.
This is why the path matters. Personal finance is not a spreadsheet of average returns. It is a sequence of decisions made under uncertainty: whether to hold cash, borrow, diversify, sell in a panic, pay high fees, or invest money that may be needed next year. The order of events can matter as much as the average.
Logarithmic thinking also explains why diversification is so important. Diversification cannot guarantee that investments will not suffer in a market drop, but it can improve the chances that losses are smaller than they would be without diversification. This is important because a deep loss is not just emotionally painful. As I have showed above, it mathematically raises the hurdle for recovery.
The same approach allows you to see the value in starting to save because starting has a dispropornate impact. Think about the sum of $10,000. If your starting point is $1 then at the end you have $10,000. If your starting point is $1 million then at the end you have $1.01 million. It’s the same $10,000 in each case but for the person starting at $1 that ending amount is much more consequential.
This is another example of the logarithmic feel: the first layers of security matter most. After that, money still matters, but each additional dollar may add less immediate safety.
This is why sensible financial planning begins with resilience. Pay down destructive debt. Build a cash buffer. Insure against risks that could wreck the household. Keep money needed soon away from volatile assets. Then invest long term money patiently and at reasonable cost. This is the architecture that lets compounding work, except that most just want the compounding and fail to set up the architecture.
Logarithmic thinking does not predict the next earthquake or the next market crash. It does something more useful. It teaches us to respect scale. It teaches us that a small number on the scale may hide a large force. It teaches us that a small annual percentage, repeated for decades, can change a life. It teaches us that losses, fees and debt are dangerous not only because they hurt today, but because they reduce tomorrow’s base.
The record of the Venezuela earthquakes reminds us that numbers must be read in their own language. Personal finance asks the same discipline of us. Read returns as multipliers. Read fees as recurring drags. Read losses as damage to the base. Read time as the friend of the patient and the enemy of the overleveraged. Read charts in percentages, not just dollars.
Just as we have on seismologist to interpret earthquake numbers, your financial professional should help you understand your financial numbers.
Ian Narine is a financial consultant who logs his columns to scale. Please send your comments to
ian@iannarine.com
